| |
Reforming
Wall Street & its booms, bubbles & busts By
Alan Shapiro
To
the Teacher
The
first student reading below outlines (and inevitably oversimplifies) the events
that led to the near collapse of the U.S. financial system. The reading answers
a few major questions about the behavior of mortgage brokers, credit agencies,
and leading investment banks. The second reading details some of the deceptive,
possibly fraudulent, actions of brokers and banks and the failure of government
financial experts to prevent a financial crisis. The third reading describes the
environment in which House and Senate committees have worked to produce financial
reform bills, which are now being reconciled in a conference committee. The reading
includes several perspectives on what reforms are needed and what is likely to
pass.
Student
Reading 1: Why a financial crisis? September
15, 2008: The investment bank Lehman Brothers filed for bankruptcy. Losses on
Wall Street were severe. The Dow Jones closed down by over 500 points. Two weeks
later it fell even further, resulting in a loss of $1.2 trillion in market value.
The biggest financial crisis in US history since the Great Depression of the 1930s
had begun.
An
exact measure of the losses on Main Street is impossible to tally. But millions
of jobs are gone, millions of homes lost; billions in savings evaporated. Almost
two years later, countless Americans (and others around the globe) are still trying
to put their lives back together. This
financial crisis will be the subject of study and analysis for many years. But
there is broad agreement now that: -
At its root was a spectacular housing boom fed by reckless and at times corrupt
financial speculation by Wall Street investment banks--Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan
Chase, Citigroup, Morgan Stanley, Lehman Brothers.
- Some
firms, caught up in a frenzy of profit-making, borrowed more than 40 times their
capital to invest primarily in mortgages during a boom turned bubble and bust.
Loans for subprime mortgages had been available for some years. These loans enabled
people to buy houses for payments sharply lower than the prime rate--but the low
monthly payments typically ballooned after two years.
The loans were often made to people who did not have to produce evidence that
they could repay them and whose poor credit records may not have even been checked.
- As
more and more subprime mortgages were sold, they drove up house prices at the
fastest pace in US history.
- Investment
banks packaged hundreds of such mortgages--as well as risky hedges or bets on
such mortgages--as "mortgage-backed securities" and sold them to investors
worldwide, making billions.
- When
the housing bubble collapsed, banks were left with hundreds of billions of
dollars' worth of mortgage-backed securities whose value was now much less than
their paper value as well as debts that they could not pay.
- Treasury
Secretary Paulson formulated a $700 billion+ bailout plan known as TARP
(Troubled
Asset Relief Program) to keep those banks, which were "too big to fail,"
in business, convincing Congress that if they collapsed, the US and the world
financial system would go with it.
Today
most of the institutions that received bailout funds have repaid with interest
what they were loaned and are once again making huge profits. Many people are
angry about that, because 15 million Americans are still out of work, and millions
more lost their homes or are in danger of foreclosure. The vast majority of these
people bear no responsibility for the crisis. Q
& A Why
would mortgage brokers offer loans to people who would probably not be able to
repay them? Because they were making lots of money at it. So, for a
time, was everyone else. The brokers would sell subprime mortgages to banks, which
would make money by packaging them into "mortgage-backed securities"
and other derivatives (securities whose price was "derived" from an
underlying asset--for example, hundreds of houses in the case of mortgage-backed
securities). They would then resell them to investors, who would make money too--until
the music stopped. In this game of musical chairs, the last one holding failed
mortgages lost. How
could mortgage brokers get people to sign up for subprime mortgages? Sometimes
by such practices as emphasizing the low beginning rate of repayment, skimming
over the ballooning payments after two years. Even, perhaps, by telling clients
that if they had trouble meeting payments, they could borrow on the increased
value of their house to get a home equity loan. Or they could sell the house for
more than they paid for it and go elsewhere. The housing boom guaranteed that
house prices would continue to go in one direction only: up. But by 2005 average
prices were no longer going up, and by 2006 they were going down. Why
would investors buy mortgage-backed securities? Because almost everyone
thought that they were safe. Such leading ratings agencies as Moody's and Standard
& Poor's, which were paid by Wall Street financial houses for their work (an
obvious conflict of interest, but unknown to most investors), rated most of the
securities AAA, the highest they could get. And
why was everyone convinced that house prices would keep going up even when house
prices began to fall in 2007? Because the experts told them so. Not
everyone believed the experts. Economist and author Dean Baker and others heard
the time bomb ticking and warned of a coming disaster. Baker later wrote, "The
nation's top economic leaders acted as if they were ignorant of third-grade arithmetic."
(False Profits, by Dean Baker. Baker is the co-director of the Center for
Economic and Policy Research.) Seeing
the arithmetic on the chalkboard, some leading Wall Street banks only stepped
up their selling of packaged house loans to people they often knew might not be
able to repay them. What's more, through such Wall Street creations as "credit
default swaps" and "collateralized debt obligations," the banks
spun straw into gold, , like Rumpelstiltskin, turning triple-B bonds into triple-A
bonds, and ultimately making billions in the process. Two
critical overviews of the crisis The
financial crisis "was less a function of subprime mortgages than of a subprime
financial system. Thanks to everything from warped compensation structures (the
very high salaries and bonuses of top executives) to corrupt ratings agencies,
the global financial system rotted from the inside out. The financial crisis merely
ripped the sleek and shiny skin off what had become, over the years, a gangrenous
mess. "--Nouriel Roubini, professor of economics at NYU, and Stephen Mihm,
a history professor, in their book Crisis Economics: A Crash Course in the
Future of Finance ) "When
the financial crisis first engulfed the world, opinion leaders rushed to explain
it as a freak of nature, like a 'perfect storm' or a tsunami that comes every
100 years. Subsequent revelations destroyed that nonsense. Like famines, financial
crises are man-made. This one was made in America--invented on Wall Street and
enabled by Washington complicity, Democrats and Republicans alike." --William
Greider, The Nation, 5/10/10)
For
discussion 1.
What questions do students have about the reading? How might they be answered?
2.
The housing boom that became a bubble appears to be the main underlying cause
of the financial crisis that began in September 2008. Why?
3. Why
were mortgage brokers so free and easy with loans for houses to people who might
very well not repay them?
4. What made people take on mortgages
that they might not be able to repay?
5. What are mortgage-backed
securities? How did they fuel the housing boom?
6. Roubini and Mihm
see corruption behind the housing boom. Why?
7. Why do you think
Greider views Wall Street, Democrats and Republicans as enablers of the crisis?
8.
Why did the government bail out the big financial institutions? If you disagree
with the bailout, how would you answer government leaders like Paulson, who said
the financial system would have collapsed without TARP?
Student
Reading 2: Deception & leadership failure=boom, bubble
& bust
Just
as there is broad agreement about why the financial crisis happened, so there
is agreement about deceptive, possibly fraudulent, Wall Street practices and the
failure of government leaders to prevent it. Examples
of Wall Street practices that were questionable, or worse:
- Mortgage
brokers around the country used deceptive practices to lend money for houses to
people who were unlikely to be able to repay the loans.
- New
York officials are investigating Morgan Stanley, Citigroup, Merrill Lynch, and
five other banks to find out whether they misled rating agencies like Moody's
and Standard & Poor's to pump up the grades of certain securities. Those same
rating agencies provided bankers with the information they needed to get higher
grades than were deserved for securities they wanted to sell.
- A
bank examiner reported in a 2,200-page document how Lehman Brothers, whose collapse
two years ago announced the beginning of the financial crisis, used "materially
misleading" accounting trickery to disguise the bad investments that led
to its failure.
- In
a post-bankruptcy lawsuit, Lehman Brothers sued JPMorgan Chase for more than $5
billion, accusing it of taking advantage of its dire state, siphoning billions
of its assets and speeding up its collapse.
- The
Securities and Exchange Commission charged Goldman Sachs with fraud for selling
securities designed to fail that gave Goldman the opportunity to bet against them
and make billions.
- The
securities sold by Goldman, the Bank of America, Wells Fargo and other big banks
often
had baffling, abstract names like "credit default swaps" (CDSs) and
"collateralized debt obligations" (CDOs). These derivatives were so
complex that even CEOs of major banks could not explain them.
- Goldman
executives were convinced by late 2006 that the mortgage market was headed down
but one of its units continued to sell mortgage-backed securities to investors
at the same time that other traders in the same unit made investments essentially
betting that the securities would decline (New York Times, 5/19/10)
During
the housing boom (roughly, 2001-2006), none of top government financial leaders
recognized, at least publicly, that the boom had become a bubble that would collapse.
None acted to prevent the financial crisis that struck in September 2008. Federal
Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke, who was recently reappointed to his position by
President Obama, declared in a major speech in 2007 that the mounting number of
people failing to make their mortgage payments would not spread, that the financial
system was basically sound. Bernanke's
predecessor, Alan Greenspan, had said the same thing earlier. In October 2008,
after the crisis began, Greenspan testified before the House Committee on Oversight
and Government Reform, chaired by Rep. Henry Waxman: WAXMAN:
You have said, "My judgment is that free, competitive markets are by far
the unrivaled way to organize economies. We've tried regulation. None meaningfully
worked." You
had the authority to prevent irresponsible lending practices that led to the subprime
mortgage crisis. You were advised to do so by many others. And now our whole economy
is paying its price. Do you feel that your ideology pushed you to make decisions
that you wish you had not made? GREENSPAN:
What I'm saying to you is, yes, I found a flaw
. WAXMAN:
In other words, you found that your view of the world, your ideology, was not
right, it was not working? GREENSPAN:
.Precisely. Other
leaders who were wrong: President George W. Bush's Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson,
who gained that position after heading Goldman Sachs; President Bill Clinton's
Treasury Secretary Larry Summers, who is now Obama's chief economic advisor; and
the chairman of the New York Fed, Timothy Geithner, who is now Obama's Treasury
Secretary. Jeff
Madrick writes in the New York Review of Books that at the time Bernanke
declared that there was no housing crisis, "house prices had already been
falling for a year, major mortgage brokers were going broke, and two Bear Stearns
hedge funds, which invested aggressively in mortgage-backed securities, were near
collapse. Well before Bernanke's inexplicable statement, prominent Wall Street
Traders and analysts were warning their bosses about the broad dangers of the
system." (Jeff Madrick, "Can They Stop the Great Recession," New
York Review, 4/8/10)
For
discussion 1.
What questions do students have about the reading? How might they be answered?
2.
What evidence is there that deception and perhaps outright fraud brought on
the crisis?
3. What is Alan Greenspan's explanation for his failure
to foresee the crisis? How would you explain why so many "experts" failed
to see it coming?
Student
Reading 3: How can a future financial crisis be prevented?
For
months following the crisis that began with the Lehman Brothers collapse almost
two years ago, Rep. Barney Frank, chairman of the House Financial Services Committee,
and Senator Christopher Dodds, chairman of the Senate Banking Committee, led studies
and meetings to produce reform bills aimed at preventing future financial disasters. But
such legislators do not work in a vacuum. Using First Amendment rights of "freedom
of speech" and "to petition the government for a redress of grievances,"
lobbyists for corporations, unions, and other businesses and groups work daily
to influence lawmakers with words backed by money. On
May 21, 2010, the Center for Public Integrity reported: "850 businesses,
trade groups and other corporate interests have hired more than 3,000 lobbyists
to shape the [financial reform] bill - roughly five lobbyists for each member
of Congress
.Lobbying disclosure data
show that all the big players
in American business lobbying were active as regulatory reform proposals worked
their way through Congress. "The
US Chamber of Commerce deployed 85 lobbyists, including 49 hired from outside
lobbying firms. The Securities Industry and Financial Markets Association employed
54 lobbyists, including 37 from outside firms. The American Bankers Association
deployed 53 lobbyists; the Business Roundtable, 42; and the Mortgage Bankers Association,
29
. In the financial services industry, some 175 companies and groups
-
hired lobbyists to try to weaken or eliminate reform proposals aimed at banks
and the capital markets." (www.publicintegrity.org)
Members
of the Senate Committee on Banking, which has worked since the crisis hit to produce
a reform bill to prevent another financial crisis, have received in two recent
election cycles more than $39 million from Wall Street and banks. Members of the
House Financial Services have received $21 million. (Bill Moyers Journal, www.pbs.org,
10/26/09) The
House and Senate bills are now being reconciled in a conference committee, with
a single bill and a vote on it expected before the July 4 congressional break. Public
Citizen, a non-profit organization that declares its purpose is to serve "as
the people's voice in the nation's capital," calls for reforms in "five
critical areas": 1.
"a strong, independent consumer protection agency," like that in the
House bill, but not like the one in the Senate bill, which folds the agency into
the Federal Reserve, "one of the agencies most hostile to consumer interests
during the run-up to the crash."
2. the break-up of "too
big to fail" institutions "that the government, fearing a total collapse,
feels compelled to bail out if they are in danger of failing." Such a bailout
creates what is called "a moral hazard"--the danger that an institution
is more likely to take aggressive and risky action if it expects to be rescued
by the government because it is "too big to fail."
3.
a clamp-down on "out-of-control pay" on Wall Street, which has now resumed,
to the tune of "$145 billion in bonuses and compensation for its 2009 performance."
This is why Public Citizen is pushing for a "windfall tax levied on the bonuses
paid in 2009 and likely in 2010."
4. an end to "the casino
economy," meaning an outright ban of certain derivatives, which Wall Street
has used to "take advantage of investors."
5. prevention
of "global deregulation," which "would subordinate new regulatory
efforts to the World Trade Organization's regulatory rules." (Public Citizen,
May/June 2010) Opposing
view of reform bill provisions President
Obama declared: "Here's what this plan would do. First, it would enact
the strongest consumer financial protections ever. It would put consumers back
in the driver's seat by forcing big banks and credit card companies to provide
clear, understandable information so that Americans can make financial decisions
that work best for them. Next,
these reforms would bring new transparency to financial dealings. Part of what
led to this crisis was firms like AIG and others making huge and risky bets -
using things like derivatives - without accountability
.We would also close
loopholes to stop the kind of recklessness and irresponsibility we've seen. It's
these loopholes that allowed executives to take risks that not only endangered
their companies, but also our entire economy. And we're going to put in place
new rules so that big banks and financial institutions will pay for the bad decisions
they make - not taxpayers. Simply put, this means no more taxpayer bailouts. Never
again will taxpayers be on the hook because a financial company is deemed "too
big to fail." (4/17/10) Joseph
Stiglitz, a Nobel Prize-winning economist testifying before Congress last
year said: "I think it would be far better to break up these too-big-to-fail
institutions and strongly restrict the activities in which they can be engaged
than to try to control them." (New York Times, 5/24/10) Paul
Krugman, also a Nobel Prize-winner in economics, wrote: "
while
the problem of 'too-big-to-fail' has gotten most of the attention..., the core
problem with our financial system isn't the size of the largest institutions.
It is, instead, the fact that the current system doesn't limit risky behavior
by
institutions like Lehman Brothers
because they
face minimal
oversight." (New York Times, 4/5/10) No
one thinks that any reforms will guarantee the end of financial crises. But as
former Federal Reserve chairman Paul Volcker wrote: "The point is
to keep the inevitable excesses and points of strain manageable, to reduce their
scale and frequency
." ("The Time We Have Is Growing Short,"
New York Review, 6/24/10) Joe
Nocera, a financial and economics columnist, wrote of the bills being reconciled
by Congress: ".Nobody is talking about breaking up banks the way they did
in the 1930s
.Nobody is even talking about a wholesale revamping of a regulatory
system that so clearly failed in this crisis." Nocera sees "good news"
in the fact that a proposed Consumer Protection Agency "hasn't been completely
gutted
.[but] perhaps the most troubling fact of all is that the bill will
do very little to reduce systemic risk." (Dubious Way To Prevent Fiscal Crisis,"
New York Times, 1/5/10) For
discussion
1.
What questions do students have about the reading? How might they be answered?
2.
What is the role of lobbyists and campaign finance contributions during the
fashioning of a bill in Congress? What legitimates the behavior of lobbyists and
contributors? What problems are there with that behavior?
3. What
major differences of opinion are there about what a final bill should include?
4.
What conclusions do you reach about what major provisions should be in a final
financial reform bill? Why? If you need to get more information, how might you
find it?
5. What, if anything, do you know about President Roosevelt's
New Deal financial reforms? If you need information, how might you find it? This
lesson was written for TeachableMoment.Org, a project of Morningside Center for
Teaching Social Responsibility. We welcome
your comments. Please email author Alan Shapiro at: lnshapiro07@gmail.com.
Back
to top
|