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Financial
Crisis: Bailout or Rescue?
Student Readings & a DBQ
By
Alan Shapiro
To the Teacher:
If
there was ever a teachable moment for student learning about the
economy and financial affairs, this is it. The first student reading
below juxtaposes the 17th century Dutch tulip craze with the 21st
century American mortgage-backed securities craze. The second
provides some detail on the events leading up to the mid-September
crisis, an account of citizen and politician reaction to plans
to deal with it and major provisions of the final product. Discussion
questions follow.
The
materials include a Document-Based Question exercise that might
be used for individual student writing and/or as a basis for class
discussion.
Additional
available materials on the economic crisis include "Presidential
Election 2008: Financial Crisis," "Presidential
Election 2008: Inequality in America," and "Economic
Anxiety," all available in the high school section of
www.teachablemoment.org.
Student
Reading 1:
Two manias
Time:
1554-1637
In
1554, an Austrian diplomat sent tulip bulbs from Constantinople
(now Istanbul, Turkey) back home. The attractive flower won favor
and spread throughout Europe. In time, rare species of tulips
became the focus of a huge craze among the Dutch.
By
1636 the demand became so great in Holland "that regular
marts for their sale were established on the Stock Exchange of
Amsterdam, in Rotterdam
and other towns. Symptoms of gambling
now became, for the first time, apparent
.At first, as in
all these gambling mania, confidence was at its height, and everybody
gained
.
Many
individuals grew suddenly rich
.Everyone imagined that the
passion for tulips would last forever and that the wealthy from
every part of the world would send to Holland, and pay whatever
prices were asked for them
.Nobles, citizens, farmers, mechanics,
seamen, footmen, maid-servants, even chimney sweeps and old clotheswomen,
dabbled in tulips
.Foreigners became smitten with the same
frenzy, and money poured into Holland from all directions."
But then came 1637.
"At
last, however, the more prudent began to see that this folly could
not last forever. Rich people no longer bought the flowers
.prices
fell and never rose again
.Substantial merchants were reduced
almost to beggary, and many a representative of a noble line saw
the fortunes of his house ruined beyond redemption."
(Charles
Mackay, "The Tulipmania," Extraordinary Popular Delusions
and the Madness of Crowds)
Time: April
28, 2004
Five
members of the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) met to
consider "an urgent plea by the big investment banks. They
wanted an exemption
from an old regulation that limited
the amount of debt they could take on. The exemption would unshackle
billions of dollars held in reserve as a cushion against losses
on their investments. Those funds could then
[enable them]
to invest in the fast-growing but opaque world of mortgage-backed
securities
and other exotic instruments."
After
a 55-minute discussion, a unanimous SEC vote granted the exemption.
Its commissioners "also decided to rely on the firms' own
computer models for determining the riskiness of investments,
essentially outsourcing the job of monitoring risk to the banks
themselves
."
(Stephen
Labaton, "Agency's '04 Rule Let Banks Pile Up Debt, and Risk,"
New York Times, 10/3/08)
Time: September 26, 2008
The
SEC "formally ended the 2004 program acknowledging that it
had failed to anticipate the problems at Bear Stearns [which had
collapsed into bankruptcy] and the four other major investment
banks."
(Stephen
Labaton, "Agency's '04 Rule Let Banks Pile Up Debt, and Risk,"
New York Times, 10/3/08)
The
mission of the SEC "is to protect investors, maintain fair,
orderly, and efficient markets and facilitate capital formation."
(www.sec.gov)
Then
and Now
The
SEC's 2004 decision came at a time when financiers and the Bush
administration believed fervently that markets correct themselves
and that the financial system works best when it polices itself.
The SEC decision helped to unleash Housemania, a passion for houses
and the money that could be made selling mortgages, mortgage-backed
securities (packages of complex financial securities), and the
houses themselves.
Just
as in 17th century Holland, when the price of a special variety
of tulip could command 5,000 florins--the equivalent of a house
with a large garden--so in America a modest house, even with no
garden, could command a price that people believed would rise
and never fall.
In
the past several years, many people of modest means were able
to buy homes because brokers, bank presidents, managers of investment
houses, and investors around the world were willing to finance
them. The financiers were enabled by the SEC to use dollars held
in reserve and to take on more debt. They didn't mind if the buyer
didn't have the money to afford a house. They weren't bothered
if the buyer was unable to make a down payment, or even had a
poor credit history. Why? Because the financiers were certain
that the house would increase in value. And so mortgages were
packaged into securities and sold globally.
Then
a day came when there were more houses on the market than there
were buyers. Prices stalled. Soon, like Dutch tulips, homes began
decreasing in value around the country. The 17th century merchants
of Holland were stuck with crates of tulips. Twenty-first century
banks, investment companies, mortgage brokers and investors around
the world were stuck with mortgages that homeowners could not
pay and empty houses that realtors could not sell.
Even
during the centuries between the tulip bubble and the housing
bubble, the financial world was not entirely sane. The British
South Sea Bubble of 1721, the American Panic of 1873 and the Wall
Street collapse of 1929 and Great Depression that followed--as
well as similar episodes elsewhere in the world--tell us that
humans are very susceptible to extraordinary delusions and that
crowds are susceptible to madness.
"It
is not at all unlikely that illnesses have their history, and
each epoch has its own definite sickness which did not occur in
such guise before and will never again return in the same form."
---Troels-Lund,
quoted in Zbigniew Herbert's "The Bitter Smell of Tulips,"
Still Life with a Bridle
For
discussion
1.
What questions do students have about the reading? How might they
be answered?
2.
What is a house worth? Who decides? How?
3.
What similarities are there between the values of tulips and
houses?
4.
How did the SEC decision help to bring on the U.S. financial
crisis?
Student
Reading 2:
Collapses & credit crunches
Houses
of cards
- By
early
2007, a growing epidemic of falling home prices and foreclosures
was evident.
- Gradually,
the housing slump began affecting banks and mortgage institutions.
A global insurance company holding paper assets saw the value
of that paper plummet. As troubles deepened for these institutions,
they failed. Some were sold to other banks at fire sale prices,
some simply collapsed, others were bailed out by partial U.S.
government purchase.
- Dropping
prices led banks and other institutions to reverse course when
it came to offering credit. The loans that had once been so
easy to get became very difficult, even impossible, to obtain.
The over-confidence that made getting credit a cinch turned
almost overnight across the financial world into a lack of confidence,
anxiety, and fear.
- Investors
pulled their money out of stocks and ran for the security of
short-term U.S. Treasury notes, which offer virtually no interest
but do provide safety.
- Credit
tightened further and the stock market nose-dived.
- Job
losses mounted for nine straight months. By the end of September
2008, 760,000 U.S. workers had lost their jobs.
- A
bank in Iceland collapsed. Ireland and Germany had to bail out
banks in Dublin and Berlin. Depositors of a bank in Hong Kong
suddenly appeared at its doors demanding their money. The financial
crisis, which had originated in the U.S. with the extraordinary
popular delusion that home prices could only rise, now rippled
across the globe.
- By
the second half of September 2008 panic was in the air.
Something
had to be done. What?
The
plan: "bailout" or "rescue"?
In
meetings with congressional and other governmental leaders, U.S.
Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson and Federal Reserve Chairman
Ben Bernanke delivered a bleak message: financiers, investors
and the American public faced disaster. The two men made public
a complex plan: They proposed using $700 billion in taxpayer money
to buy from failing financial institutions mortgage-backed securities
that were now worth about what tulips in Holland were in 1637.
In time, they said, as the financial markets steadied, these securities
would rise in value and could be sold. Through their sale, taxpayers
would recover some of the money, even possibly make a profit.
The
plan was put before the House of Representatives. Its members
were flooded with outraged phone calls and e-mails from citizens
protesting that the plan was a bailout of the very people who
were responsible for the crisis--a kind of socialism for the rich.
The House members, all of whom were either up for reelection or
retiring, responded to the outrage. In a vote that surprised Democratic
and Republican leaders, the House turned the plan down by 12 votes.
Among the objections citizens voiced to the plan:
- It
would bail out Wall Street financiers who had, in the words
of Secretary Paulson himself, promoted "irresponsible borrowing
and lending"
-
It violated the capitalist principle that government should
stay out of the market and let the market correct itself.
- At
the same time it violated an opposing principle that a reasonable
government must insist upon reasonable regulation of capital
markets, since their failure affects everyone.
-
It failed to set limits on the huge pay packages of top executives
at the firms seeking help.
-
It did not include any help for hundreds of thousands of homeowners
facing foreclosures.
-
It permitted Secretary Paulson to act without any oversight
in dispensing a phenomenal amount of taxpayer money.
Political
and governmental leaders went back to the drawing board. The new
plan required reframing--that is, the use of language to promote
a more positive reaction from voters. It could not be called "a
bailout," which sounded like giving away money. Instead,
it would be "a rescue," which sounded more like help
for passengers on a sinking ship. This time around, the Senate
would get first crack at the legislation. And to encourage yea
votes, senators would add sweeteners of political pork.
These
changes were sufficient to win Senate approval for the plan. Then
the plan returned to the House, where it passed. President Bush
quickly signed the bill into law. Its official title: The Emergency
Economic Stabilization Act of 2008.
Major
provisions include:
- The
Treasury Secretary is authorized to immediately spend $250 billion
in taxpayer money to buy bad debt, like mortgage-backed securities,
from firms that are stuck with it. The worth of these securities
will be determined by Secretary Paulson and his advisors. If
we find, years from now, that the price Paulson paid was too
high, taxpayers and the U.S. Treasury will suffer the loss.
-
The Treasury Secretary may receive additional installments of
$100 billion upon presidential approval. Still later, he may
receive $350 billion upon congressional approval.
-
The President must present a plan after five years to recoup
any losses.
-
Two oversight committees will monitor how the money is spent.
-
There will be limits on the pay packages of top executives at
firms seeking help.
-
Taxpayers will get a stake in firms receiving help and may earn
a profit if their stocks rise.
-
Homeowners who are facing foreclosure and/or unmanageable mortgage
payments will get a little help.
-
The government will temporarily increase federal insurance on
bank deposits to promote confidence and avoid runs on banks.
Instead of insuring only deposits of up to $100,000, the FDIC
(Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation) will now insure deposits
of up to $250,000.
-
A number of breaks for taxpayers, along with other add-ons,
will increase the cost of the plan by more than $150 billion--in
addition to the original $700 billion package. The bailout/rescue
plan will increase U.S. debt to a $11.3 trillion.
Among
the pork sweeteners added to the bill:
- An
excise tax exemption for Rose City Archery in Myrtle Point,
Oregon, a company
that makes an unusual cedar arrow shaft
- Tax
breaks for movie and TV companies
- Help
for employers who want to provide incentives for workers to
commute on bicycles
Will
the plan work? No one, including Secretary Paulson, can answer
that question with certainty.
Will
the American economy get worst before it gets better? Most people
in the financial world say yes.
For
discussion
1.
What questions do students have about the reading? How might they
be answered?
2.
What seems to have been the major reason behind the financial
panic?
3.
Why were the effects felt internationally?
4.
What was the chief provision in Paulson's original plan to halt
the crisis? Why was it voted down in the House of Representatives?
Why did many regard the plan as "socialism for the rich"?
5.
How is the second plan different from the first?
6.
What is political pork? Why was it included in the bill?
Document-Based
Questions:
The Financial Crisis
There
are multiple ways to assess students' skills in thinking about
controversial issues. "Document-based questions" is
one employed by the New York State Regents Examination in social
studies. The following exercise is modeled on that examination.
Read
each paragraph, and then answer the question following it. After
you have read all of the paragraphs, write an essay in response
to item G.
A
Households
across the nation are beginning to see the leading edge of the
storm that is already roiling credit markets here and around the
world. The sudden and dramatic drop in the value of retirement
accounts after the House's initial refusal to agree to the package
was just one symptom of what is to come. Even more important,
however, is the continued deterioration of the credit system.
Without action, ordinary Americans will face the effects of a
dramatic economic contraction, including sharp increases in unemployment
.Noxious
though some of the [provisions in the law] are, taken together
with the improvements they are not sufficient to risk the enormous
economic damage that would ensue [without] the core features of
the package.
--Stuart
Butler and Edwin Meese III of the Heritage Foundation
Question:
According to the writers, what is a reason for supporting the
congressional action on the financial crisis even though that
action includes some bad provisions?
B
This
bill does not effectively address the issue of what the taxpayers
of our country will actually own after they invest hundreds of
billions of dollars in toxic assets. This bill does not effectively
address the issue of oversight because the oversight board members
have all been hand-picked by the Bush administration. This bill
does not effectively deal with the issue of foreclosures
which
is impacting millions of low- and moderate-income Americans
.This
bill does not deal at all with how we got into this crisis in
the first place and the need to undo the deregulatory fervor which
created trillions of dollars in complicated and unregulated financial
instruments.
--Senator
Bernie Sanders, Independent, Vermont
Question:
What bothers Senator Sanders about allowing the Bush administration
to choose oversight board members?
C
As
disturbing as the volatility and turmoil on Wall Street are, the
prospect of transferring trillions of dollars of risk and losses
to taxpayers is appalling. How can any America look their neighbor
in the eye and suggest that they should bear the losses for the
mistakes and greed of America's wealthiest financial firms
.Accountability
is a pillar of our free market economic system. The market rewards
good business decisions and punishes bad ones
.Losses on
Wall Street should be first and foremost the responsibility of
the investors and creditors who engaged in these business transactions.
--Congressman
Darrell Issa, Republican, California
Question:
According to the congressman, who should take responsibility
for Wall Street losses?
D
We
were very very close to a system that was totally dysfunctional
and would have not only gummed up the financial markets, but gummed
up the economy in a way that would take us years and years to
repair
.I'm not saying the Paulson plan eliminates those
problems. But it was absolutely, and is absolutely necessary,
in my view, to really avoid going over the precipice
.No
plan is going to be perfect, but thank heavens that Paulson had
the imagination to step up with something that is of the scope
that can really do something about it.
--Warren
Buffett, CEO, Berkshire Hathaway, in a CNBC interview
Question:
What is one reason that Warren Buffett favors the Paulson
plan?
E
As
it did in 1929, the free market has failed beyond tolerance. Overwhelming
popular sentiment
may, sooner or later, bring not only a
full recognition of just how wrong-headed the country has been
for how long, but how much in need it is of fresh institutions.
New forms of public authority, closely overseen by the mechanisms
of democracy rather than turned over to some autocrat on leave
from his day job as an investment banker, might have a chance
of doing what was once unthinkable: desanctifying private property
and compelling it to perform in the general interest when its
private misuse has placed us all in peril. The New Deal [under
the administration of President Franklin Roosevelt] ventured in
that direction. We need to venture further.
--Steve
Fraser, "The Specter of Wall Street," www.tomdispatch.com
Question:
In what direction, according to the writer, do we need to venture?
F
During
the housing bubble, people borrowed heavily not only to buy houses
but
also to compensate for the weakest job and income growth of any
expansion since the end of World War II. Between 2001 and 2007,
homeowners withdrew almost $5 trillion in cash from their houses,
either by borrowing against their equity or pocketing the proceeds
of sales
.That extra life disguised the labor market's underlying
weakness
.it looked like Wall Street had entered a utopia:
an eternal bull market. Regulators stopped regulating and auditors
looked the other way as financial practices lost all traces of
prudence
.
Although we're hearing a lot now about how
the era of big
government is back, an expanded government isn't likely to do
much more than rescue a failing financial system
.Nothing
more humane will be pursued without a far more energized populace
than we have.
--Doug
Henwood, a contributing editor of The Nation
Question:
According to the writer, why do we need to do much more than rescue
a failing financial system?
G
Treasury
Secretary Paulson proposed--and Congress and the president ultimately
ratified--a plan to use taxpayer money to buy mortgage-backed
securities and other bad debt from distressed banks and other
financial firms. Paulson argues that this will enable the firms
to obtain the credit they need to resume their normal business
activities. Specifically, Paulson argues, these firms will once
again be able to make loans on reasonable terms for small businesses
and individuals so they can buy furniture, cars, and houses. This
will get the economy going again.
Using
information from the documents and your knowledge of the financial
crisis, write a well-organized essay that includes an introduction,
several paragraphs and a conclusion in which you:
1)
compare and contrast different viewpoints on the financial plan
approved by Congress
and
2)
discuss your own viewpoint and the reasons for it.
A
discussion procedure
1.
Have students read each item in the DBQ, then answer the question
in writing in a sentence of two. Discuss responses with class.
2.
Organize small groups of students to discuss differing viewpoints,
including their own, about the merits of the financial plan passed
by Congress. Assign one student in each group to summarize the
discussion for the class.
3.
After the groups present the summaries, invite class discussion.
This
lesson was written for TeachableMoment.Org, a project of Morningside
Center for Teaching Social Responsibility. We welcome
your comments. Please email author Alan Shapiro at: ashapiro7@comcast.net.
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